Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Bayern Munich sealed the Bundesliga title in the previous round, despite not winning their own match. With the trophy already secured and little at stake, they now welcome Borussia M'gladbach to their home ground. The visitors, by contrast, still have everything to play for as they chase a spot in European competition.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich have scored three goals in each of their last two fixtures. At first glance, their attack appears to be thriving, but a deeper analysis tells another story. In both matches, their xG did not exceed 1.56, a sign that the scorelines were largely the result of defensive lapses from their opponents.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia M'gladbach generally favour open, attacking football, which often leaves them exposed at the back. However, Bayern Munich are a unique challenge. Few sides are willing to engage them in such an open manner, and Borussia M'gladbach are no exception. In the reverse fixture, they had just 32% possession and failed to produce a single shot on target. The match ended in a predictable defeat, although Bayern Munich only managed to score once.
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Analysts are expecting a convincing win for Bayern Munich and believe they could score four or more goals. Yet, this is not a frequent outcome for the champions. Borussia M'gladbach are unlikely to go down without a fight and will be determined to leave with at least a point. As such, the value lies in backing the home side to fall short of the threshold.