Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Wimbledon match.
Daniil Medvedev heads into this Wimbledon opener in strong form, having reached the final in Halle and building momentum on grass. Bonzi, on the other hand, has struggled throughout the season and faces a daunting challenge against the 2024 Wimbledon semi-finalist.
Benjamin Bonzi
Currently ranked No. 64, Bonzi is enduring a difficult season, particularly on grass. He lost three of five matches on the surface in 2025, including defeats to lower-tier players like Quentin Halys (4:6, 4:6) and Brandon Holt (6:2, 4:6, 4:6). While his first-serve percentage is respectable (74%), it hasn’t translated into consistent results. At Wimbledon, Bonzi has only twice progressed beyond the first round — and those wins came against modest opposition.
Daniil Medvedev
The Russian arrives at SW19 with confidence after an impressive run in Halle, where he beat Alexander Zverev (7:6, 6:7, 6:4) and pushed Alexander Bublik to a final-set decider. Medvedev’s grass-court game continues to evolve: he’s added finesse with drop shots and greater variety in his baseline exchanges. His Wimbledon record is solid, having cleared the opening round in all seven of his previous main-draw appearances. On grass, Medvedev averages nine aces per match and wins 78% of points on first serve — a key weapon against lower-ranked opponents.
Benjamin Bonzi vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Medvedev holds clear advantages in form, pedigree on grass, and overall quality. Bonzi is unlikely to hold serve consistently under pressure, and Medvedev has a habit of dispatching underdogs efficiently. Expect a straight-sets win with a comfortable margin.
