Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Europa League match.
With the Norwegian domestic season now underway, Bodø/Glimt have a better chance of building match fitness ahead of their European fixtures. However, their prospects of upsetting Lazio appear slim. Lazio ended their winless run on the road with a 1:0 victory at Atalanta and are now fully focused on reaching the Europa League semi-finals.
Bodø/Glimt
In previous Europa League knockout rounds, Bodø/Glimt edged past FC Twente (6:4 on aggregate) and Olympiacos (4:2). In both ties, they looked vulnerable defensively — they allowed a combined 4.97 xGA across 180 minutes against Olympiacos, indicating Bodø/Glimt are likely to concede more against higher-level opposition. Five players remain unavailable due to injury, leaving Kjetil Knutsen with limited options in his matchday squad.
Lazio
Lazio, who entered the knockout stage in the Round of 16 after topping their Champions League group, progressed past Viktoria Plzeň with a 3:2 aggregate victory. In the away leg in Plzeň (2:1), Lazio were clinical in front of goal, converting 1.25 xG from four shots on target. On Sunday in Bergamo, Lazio maintained their level despite the injury to Nuno Tavares — substitute Gustav Isaksen scored the only goal of the match, while Atalanta managed fewer shots on target (3 compared to 2). Since the beginning of March, Lazio have recorded three wins in four away matches.
Bodø/Glimt vs Lazio Prediction
This first-ever meeting between Bodø/Glimt and Lazio is expected to be an open contest. We back the more technically proficient visitors, who have shown better defensive discipline in the Europa League compared to their Norwegian opponents.
