Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
On Saturday, Borussia Dortmund secured a vital victory over RB Leipzig (2:1) at home, showcasing the strength and character of their current squad. Against a less illustrious Sturm Graz, they should avoid any slip-ups, as the Germans are determined to climb back into the top three in the league stage table.
Borussia Dortmund
Their wins over Club Brugge (3:0) and Celtic (7:1) unfolded in different scenarios—against the Belgians, Borussia Dortmund often relied on counter-attacking, whereas they dominated possession against the Scots. In their sole home match in the European competition, they posted an impressive 2.80 xG and had 14 shots on target, showing their capability to overcome any opponent. In Madrid against Real Madrid (2:5), Borussia Dortmund impressed in the first half with 1.38 xG and five shots on target but faltered after the break, so they'll look to assert themselves more consistently against rivals now.
Sturm Graz
Despite leading their domestic league, Sturm Graz have struggled to make an impact in the Champions League, failing to earn any points in their first three rounds. Two weeks ago, against Sporting CP (0:2), the Austrians were poor under pressure and significantly outperformed in creativity (0.75 xG vs 1.50). Over the weekend, they drew with Rapid Vienna (1:1), squandering a win in the final minutes despite having a man advantage.
Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Prediction
Before the upcoming international break, Borussia Dortmund are keen to solidify their position. With key players returning from injury, Sturm Graz are unlikely to secure points in the Champions League once again.
