Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
It is somewhat surprising to see Oxford United on the verge of the playoff zone. The newcomer leaves a pleasant impression, in contrast to Bristol City, who have been falling apart in recent matches.
Bristol City
Bristol City had a torrid time in their last two away fixtures, leaving them with exclusively bad memories. They suffered an identical defeat to both Derby County and Blackburn Rovers (0:3). Bristol City's defence is their main problem. In another match, they conceded three times against Millwall (4:3). According to xGA statistics, they conceded 3.77 more goals than expected.
Oxford United
Oxford United are strong in attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their opponents failed to score more than expected against them (xGA 6.29 vs 6 actual goals). Oxford United shine at home, boasting three wins out of three at the Kassam Stadium, securing second place in the home table. On the road, the situation is the opposite: they stand in 21st place with only 2 points and a goal difference of -2. Nevertheless, they can still hope for a positive result. They managed to breach Coventry City's tight defence, which conceded 1.2 goals per game, twice in an away match.
Bristol City vs Oxford United Prediction
The clubs met a year ago in the first round of the EFL Cup, where Bristol City left no chance for the visitors (5:1). The current situation is different. Bristol City will find it challenging psychologically, given their recent misfortunes. It's evident that Bristol City are conceding more than expected, while Oxford United have scored in both of their away matches, indicating a clear upper hand for the visitors.
