Adam Williams presents his prediction for the UFC 310 fight.
Bryce Mitchell
Bryce will utilise a sharp jab and maintain distance from his opponent, waiting for the right moment to execute a takedown. Mitchell will aim to catch Gracie's shin during a kick and bring him down to the canvas. Additionally, Bryce might go for a double-leg takedown when Kron charges in with a series of hooks. If the fight goes to the fence, the American will focus on control and look to drag his opponent closer to the centre. In the ground game, Mitchell will deny his opponent any space, using low-amplitude punches to wear him down. If the Brazilian starts pushing him away with his legs, Bryce will attempt a heel hook.
Kron Gracie
Kron will start with quick one-twos and low kicks aimed at the knees. If Bryce absorbs a couple of shots, the Brazilian will unleash some awkward hooks to the chin. Mitchell might manage a solid counter, which could prompt Gracie to go for a body lock through a slip from a punch. In the standing clinch, the Brazilian will try to secure a side position and tuck in his leg to set up a rear-naked choke or transition the fight to the ground. It seems unlikely he’ll manage to latch onto Bryce’s back, so Kron will be ready to shift to a heel hook. On the ground, Gracie will attempt to immediately isolate an arm for a triangle choke or armbar. He’ll look to take the back, and if unsuccessful, will employ elbows instead.
Betting Odds
Bookmakers suggest that Bryce will dispatch Kron without much hassle. The American clearly outclasses his opponent in most aspects of the fight. Mitchell is the favourite with odds of 3/20 for the win.
Kron comes into this fight on the back of two hopeless losses, and it appears his motivation to enter the octagon stems more from a modest payout than a real desire to break into the top ranks. Betting on Gracie to win offers odds of 51/10.
Bryce Mitchell vs Kron Gracie Prediction
In the first round, we won't see much grappling, favouring Mitchell with his more varied combinations and experience advantage. The wrestling dominance this time should go to the American. His takedowns are both sharper and more technical. Kron often neglects groundwork transitions, despite having won all his fights via submission. It's unlikely that Bryce will knockout Kron, and finishing him on the ground will be quite challenging. Most likely, Mitchell will secure a win by judges' decision, with this outcome offering more enticing odds than betting on a standard victory.