Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nitto ATP Finals match.
Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz will wrap up the group stage at the ATP Finals in Turin, each aiming to secure a spot in the semi-finals. Zverev leads the group thanks to his recent victories and enters the match brimming with confidence. For Alcaraz, this encounter is an opportunity to prove he can regain form and overcome the illness that impacted his game at the tournament's start. While Alcaraz won't finish the year as world number one, reaching the ATP Finals semi-finals would cap off his successful season.
Alexander Zverev
Zverev has been showcasing confident tennis throughout the tournament, as evidenced by his leading position in the group. As one of the tour's top servers, the German consistently wins about 80% of points on his first serve, making him a formidable opponent to break. In indoor conditions, free from wind and with high-speed surfaces, Zverev firmly holds his serve and rarely faces break points. His strengths lie in his powerful serve and solid two-handed backhand, particularly reliable from the baseline. Zverev has only lost once in his last seven matches on indoor hard courts, highlighting his effectiveness in these conditions.
Carlos Alcaraz
After an initial defeat, Alcaraz regained form, securing a victory over Andrey Rublev in their previous match. Although the Spaniard has excellent technique and can play with variety, he still struggles on fast surfaces where serving plays a crucial role. Alcaraz consistently wins his matches through quick reflexes and strong baseline play, but his serve's inconsistency and lack of adaptation to indoor conditions put him at a disadvantage against the powerful Zverev. Additionally, the head-to-head indoor hard court stats favour Zverev, who has beaten Alcaraz twice on this surface.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
In indoor conditions, Zverev seems the more likely candidate for victory. His formidable serve and superior head-to-head records on indoor hard courts suggest he can capitalise on his advantages. The match is expected to be competitive, as Alcaraz can challenge on the baseline, but overall, the German displays more stability.
