Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Wimbledon match.
The opening Wimbledon semi-final will feature defending champion Carlos Alcaraz taking on world number five Taylor Fritz. The American has delivered a steady campaign so far but has yet to come up against an opponent of Carlos Alcaraz’s calibre. The Spaniard is chasing his third straight final at SW19 and stands one win away from a landmark achievement — a third consecutive Wimbledon crown.
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz has enjoyed a productive grass-court swing, having lifted trophies in both Stuttgart and Eastbourne. His powerful serve and aggressive baseline game have translated well on grass. However, his route to the semi-finals has been far from smooth — he has dropped six sets along the way. In the quarter-finals, Taylor Fritz came dangerously close to defeat, suffering a 1:6 loss in the third set to Karen Khachanov and narrowly surviving the fourth-set tiebreak. Over the past month, the American has contested 14 matches, and fatigue could be a telling factor when facing such a demanding opponent.
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz had a slow start to the tournament but has grown into form as the rounds progressed. In the quarter-finals against Cameron Norrie, the Spaniard secured a straight-sets victory and looked sharp and explosive throughout. He won 89% of points on his first serve in that encounter. Known for building momentum through tournaments, Carlos Alcaraz tends to peak in the later stages. He holds a 2:0 head-to-head record against Taylor Fritz, having won both prior meetings in straight sets while dominating baseline exchanges.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz holds the advantage in adaptability, physical endurance, and shot-making variety. While Taylor Fritz might come out strong and keep things tight early on, over the course of the match Alcaraz is expected to demonstrate greater composure and consistency. A victory for the Spaniard by a margin of at least five games looks likely.
