Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Segunda División match.
The equation is simple on paper: Mirandés need to beat bottom-placed Cartagena and hope Elche slip up to secure a promotion spot. But as with most final-day matches, the devil is in the detail — especially with both teams bringing contrasting momentum and motivation.
Cartagena
Once again anchored to the bottom of the table, Cartagena weren’t able to recreate last season’s great escape. Despite changing coaches back in September, their form never stabilised. They’ve managed just six wins all season, though two of those came at home recently — back-to-back 1:0 victories over Racing and Tenerife. The common thread? Low-scoring games. In fact, 8 of their last 10 home matches went under 2.5 goals, and 7 even stayed under 1.5.
Mirandés
Mirandés missed a massive opportunity in the last round, drawing 0:0 at home to fellow promotion hopefuls Almería — a result that dropped them from second to fourth. Their away form has been patchy, failing to score in 4 of their last 10 road matches, and 5 of those outings finished under 1.5 goals. Mirandés are known for their cautious approach, especially when playing away from home.
Cartagena vs Mirandés Prediction
Expect another tight, tactical contest. Cartagena rarely concede many but also offer little threat in attack. Mirandés will be chasing the win, but their recent lack of cutting edge away could limit the scoreline.
