Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Currently, Celta Vigo hold the third spot in La Liga for goals scored (14), whereas Atlético Madrid rank first for the fewest goals conceded (3). The question is, which will prevail in this clash: attack or defence?
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo have been playing very exciting football at the start of the season, averaging more than two goals scored and conceded per game. However, only one of their six matches has been against a top-six team. A deeper look into the statistics reveals that Celta are scoring more than expected: 14 goals with 10 xG. At the same time, their defence is struggling, conceding 14 goals with 8.6 xGA. Yes, the team is currently in the upper part of the table, but this is largely due to a fortunate schedule and some serendipitous factors.
Atlético Madrid
The visitors have started the season confidently and are rightfully considered one of the favourites for the La Liga title. Atlético Madrid have shown outstanding defensive performance, conceding just three goals with 4.5 xGA. Their attack is slightly less impressive, as the team has found it difficult to break down teams that park the bus—though this is likely temporary. New signings Julián Alvarez and Alexander Sørloth have not yet fully integrated into the squad, so their attack will grow stronger with each match. Even now, they have scored 10 goals with 10.5 xG.
Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
In the last five meetings between these teams, Atlético Madrid have come out on top each time. Today, the difference in class is too significant, so despite Celta playing at home, they are unlikely to cause many problems.