Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the WTA Finals Riyadh match.
In the group stage of the WTA Finals in Riyadh, two of America's top tennis players, Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula, go head-to-head. Their last encounter in 2023 ended in a decisive victory for Pegula (6:2, 6:1). The question is whether Gauff can exact revenge on the indoor courts of Saudi Arabia, given Pegula's more consistent results.
Coco Gauff
The 20-year-old Gauff wraps up the season ranked third in the world. She clinched two titles this year (in Auckland and Beijing) and reached a milestone of 50 wins. However, she hasn't played indoors since 2020, and her record against top-10 players in 2024 stands at three wins and seven losses. Furthermore, Gauff struggles with her second serve, often resulting in double faults (she committed 21 double faults against Aryna Sabalenka in the Wuhan semi-final).
Jessica Pegula
The 30-year-old Pegula finished the season ranked sixth globally and holds an edge in head-to-head meetings with Gauff (4-1), having never lost on indoor hard courts (three wins). Pegula delivered consistent performances in North American hard court tournaments, winning the title in Toronto and reaching finals in Cincinnati and the US Open. Her aggressive, flat hitting style suits the fast surface, potentially giving her an advantage indoors. This season, Jessica registered 13 consecutive victories against fellow Americans, highlighting her confidence in such matchups.
Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Considering the current form of both players and their head-to-head record, Pegula seems more prepared and motivated for a win. Despite Gauff’s progress, her weak serve and past challenges in indoor events could prove decisive. Therefore, the optimal choice is to back Pegula with a handicap.
