Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the US Open match.
Andrey Rublev laboured into the third round of the US Open. If he gets through one more round, he will defend the points he earned last year. However, standing in his way is the young player Coleman Wong, who is putting together one of the best tournaments of his career.
Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong has made a strong impression with his tennis. Across five matches at this event, including qualifying, he has struck 62 aces and has averaged 74% of points won behind his first serve. In the US Open main draw the player saw off two top-100 opponents, Aleksandar Kovacevic and Adam Walton, dropping only one set to the latter. Coleman is keeping the error count low — across five matches in New York he has committed just eight double faults.
Andrey Rublev
By contrast, Andrey Rublev has his share of issues. In his previous match he racked up 49 unforced errors and needed four sets to get it done (6:3, 6:3, 5:7, 7:6). This season at the Grand Slams Andrey has already played 11 tie-breaks in 10 matches, winning only seven. His returning has looked uncertain, with just eight breaks of serve across seven sets in New York. On top of that, his first-serve percentage sits at a modest 57%.
Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Andrey Rublev should progress, but a one-sided match is not the expectation. Wong is in good nick and can hold serve and take sets. We will back him with a +7.5 game handicap.