Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Como's return to the top Italian division is going reasonably well, yet they come into this challenging matchup against Lazio on the back of a three-game winless streak. It seems Lazio will have plenty of chances in front of goal to secure another three points and close in on the leaders.
Como 1907
The defeat to Torino (0:1) was somewhat illogical for Como, as Torino created far fewer chances in front of goal (1.64 vs 1.38 in xG and 6-2 in shots on target). However, Como have continued to make defensive errors, with the pairing of Alberto Dossena — Marc Kempf and goalkeeper Emil Audero lacking consistency. In terms of xGA, Como have already conceded over four more goals than expected (11.94 with 16 actual goals conceded), ranking them 19th in the league.
Lazio
Lazio, along with Fiorentina, can rightly be considered one of the standout teams early in the season. They are ranked in the top five of the league in expected goals (16.62), and a comfortable victory over Genoa (3:0) helped fans move past their stumble against Juventus (0:1). It's also worth noting that Lazio have been exemplary in the Europa League, topping their group stage with three consecutive victories and an aggregate score of 9:1 — veteran Pedro Rodríguez has contributed 2+2 in the tournament.
Como 1907 vs Lazio Prediction
On Como's turf, Lazio are likely to dominate possession; their strong midfield should compel the hosts to play defensively. We believe the visitors will have the upper hand in chances to win.
