Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Two teams that have favoured low-scoring games this season. Their previous meeting ended 2:2, but Saturday’s match is unlikely to follow the same pattern.
Coventry City
Coventry City are among those teams that create significantly more chances than they convert. They rank fourth in the Championship in xG with 8.47 but have scored only 5 goals. This results in an average of one goal per game, despite being fourth in shots (14.6). The team managed to score more than once only against Oxford United, who were playing their second game after promotion. They later lost to the same Oxford United in the League Cup (0:1).
Swansea City
A 1:0 scoreline, in either direction, is the most common result in Swansea City’s matches this season. This has happened in four out of their seven games. Until their last match against Norwich City, they had been losing but finally secured a victory last Saturday. Why? The team played at Liberty Stadium, where they created 4.54 xG over 3 matches. However, away from home, Swansea's attack has been negligible (5.5 shots and 1 on target). Additionally, their defence is tighter at home, allowing only 8.3 shots (16th place). Away, they are more susceptible, conceding 18 shots per game. Swansea City will likely be on the defensive but are unlikely to concede more than one goal, given their stronger defence compared to their attack. Similarly, their opponent is not particularly strong in attacking either.
Coventry City vs Swansea City Prediction
Swansea City have not conceded more than one goal in any of their seven matches. In five out of their seven matches this season, one of the teams did not score, and this has occurred in four out of eight matches for Coventry City. Betting on the total under 2.5 seems reasonable. In Championship matches, this bet has failed only once out of five times for both teams.
