Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NHL match.
The Dallas Stars fought valiantly throughout the series, pushing two games into overtime and even taking the lead at one stage. Nonetheless, Game 4 served as a reminder of where the balance of power truly lies. The Colorado Avalanche dominated on home ice with an emphatic 0:4 win and now head to Texas poised to build on that momentum.
Dallas Stars
The problems facing the Dallas Stars are clear: the team is struggling defensively. The injury to Miro Heiskanen, who is unlikely to feature during the first round, has forced the coaching staff to reshuffle roles among regular players, with particular impact on Cody Ceci. The towering defenceman has never been known for excelling under heavy ice time, yet he has been tasked with increased responsibility against the Colorado Avalanche. Across the four games, Ceci has averaged 22:40 on the ice. During his shifts, the Stars have recorded a -24 shot differential, a -18 slot shot differential, and a 35.26% in xGF%. As things stand, the team must place almost all their hopes on Jake Oettinger delivering a standout performance in goal.
Colorado Avalanche
While the Colorado Avalanche faced some tense moments during overtime, overall they have consistently created a wealth of scoring opportunities — both at even strength and on the power play. In the latest match, their trademark high-pressure offence produced 5.06 xG and 48 shots on target — an offensive barrage that no goaltender could reasonably be expected to withstand. Crucially, the Avalanche possess the stamina and squad depth to maintain this intensity. The return of captain Gabriel Landeskog has not only lifted morale but also introduced greater versatility in line combinations. With players such as Jonathan Drouin, Charlie Coyle, and Christopher Drury strengthening the bottom-six forwards, the Colorado Avalanche have a level of depth they have not enjoyed for some time.
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction
For the Dallas Stars, the only feasible path to victory would involve grinding out a result through scrappy play and an exceptional performance between the pipes. However, with the Colorado Avalanche sensing an opportunity to take control of the series, it is unlikely they will allow that to happen. They are better organised, physically stronger, and possess superior depth, making them strong favourites to move ahead.
