Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nitto ATP Finals match.
Daniil Medvedev, not in peak form, fell to Taylor Fritz in the first match, committing eight double faults, a key factor in his loss. He now desperately needs a win to stay in contention for the playoffs. Alex de Minaur also suffered a defeat at the hands of Jannik Sinner but showed commendable resistance, indicating his competitive spirit. This match is crucial for both players; a loss would see one of them eliminated from the tournament.
Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev has valuable experience at the ATP Finals and generally surpasses Alex de Minaur in class, especially on hard courts. However, his current form is concerning, with four consecutive defeats and difficulties on indoor hard courts raising alarms. The Russian continues to struggle in indoor venues, with a losing streak dating back to 2023, now spanning nine defeats.
Alex de Minaur
Alex De Minaur has made significant strides this year, particularly on indoor courts, boasting a win rate of 69%. Although he lost to Sinner in the tournament's opening match, he remained competitive, achieving the first break of the game. Alex has often proven he can compete with top-tier opponents, though matches against top-five players typically end in losses for him (five out of six encounters). Additionally, seven of his last ten indoor hard court matches have exceeded a total of 23 games, highlighting intensely competitive encounters with the Australian.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur Prediction
The head-to-head history between Daniil Medvedev and Alex de Minaur is filled with lengthy and intense matches. Seven out of nine encounters have been three-setters, featuring at least 22 games. A closely contested and even match is expected, making a bet on total over 21.5 appear quite reliable.
