Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Washington match.
Daniil Medvedev is just two wins away from reaching the final in Washington for the second time in his career. His next opponent is Corentin Moutet, a French player currently outside the top 50, who still has the potential to offer some resistance.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev has historically excelled on American hard courts, recording 37 wins in 46 matches on this surface since 2023. He has reached the quarter-finals in seven of his last eight appearances on hard courts in the United States. Despite dropping to 14th in the rankings this season, Medvedev seems to be regaining his rhythm. In his match against Wu Yibing, Daniil landed 76% of his first serves and won 93% of those points.
Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet made it to this stage as a lucky loser. After losing to Wu Yibing in the qualifiers, he went on to secure confident victories over Alexandre Müller and Daniel Evans. However, Moutet’s statistics are far from convincing — averaging just 63% on first serve and winning only 66% of those points. On hard courts, Corentin has consistently struggled against top-level opposition, losing his last five matches against players ranked inside the top 20. Since 2022, he has failed to reach the quarter-finals at ATP 250 events or higher on this surface.
Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet Prediction
Daniil Medvedev comes into this match as the more reliable and composed player. A tight contest seems unlikely: while Corentin Moutet has an entertaining playing style, the Frenchmen lacks the consistency and firepower to claim even a set. Medvedev’s baseline dominance, coupled with his recent return to form, should be more than enough to secure a straight-sets victory.
