Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
It appears that both Denmark and Spain have showcased their best attacking football in the current Nations League campaign. The reigning European champions have already secured their spot in the playoffs, while the Scandinavians need just a minimal point tally to progress from the group—they are unlikely to take risks against a top-tier opponent, even on home soil.
Denmark
In four Nations League matches, Denmark have only once exceeded the total over 2.5. Against Spain in Murcia last month (0:1), they created merely 0.10 xG, fully committing to a more defensive style of play (1-6 in shots on target). In their away match against Switzerland (2:2), the Danes twice came from behind, demonstrating the resilience needed to claw back points at crucial moments.
Spain
Without the injured Rodri Hernández, Spain have become a less vibrant team, relying on routine victories based on their superior skill. They edged out Denmark with a late goal from Martín Zubimendi, and benefited from Serbia's poor form (3:0), with their opponents managing just one shot on target. It's likely Luis de la Fuente will use the remaining two matches to experiment with the lineup and test new players, which could affect the quality of their play.
Denmark vs Spain Prediction
A month after their first encounter, it’s improbable that either side will open up. Denmark are content with a draw and will likely adopt a counter-attacking approach again, while Spain have little motivation and will probably field a less-than-optimal lineup. Therefore, betting on total under is the most sensible choice.
