Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NBA match.
The return of Nikola Jokić after a short break has completely revitalised the Denver Nuggets' play. With the Serbian back on the court, the team are once again showcasing their offensive prowess. Home games at Ball Arena are traditionally high-scoring, especially against opponents with weak away defences. The New York Knicks will have a tough task ahead, given their struggles on the road and a poor record at Ball Arena.
Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets are averaging 117.5 points per game, one of the best in the league. With Nikola Jokić's return, they scored over 120 points in two consecutive games. Jokić averages 30.3 points, 11.3 assists, and 13.9 rebounds. On their home floor, the Nuggets have played significantly better, securing five wins in their last six outings. In these past six games, they consistently surpassed the 120-point mark.
New York Knicks
The Knicks concede an average of 115.6 points per game on the road and have lost four of their last six games. In four of the last five away games, they have allowed more than 120 points. Karl-Anthony Towns (averaging 26.1 points) and Jalen Brunson (25.1 points) are standout players for the Knicks, but their individual performances often cannot compensate for their defensive shortcomings. Notably, the Knicks have a dismal record when visiting the Denver Nuggets, with just one win in 15 games.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction
Given the Nuggets' offensive firepower and Knicks' weak defence, the hosts have every chance of surpassing the 115-point mark. Playing at Ball Arena and in great form, Jokić will provide the Nuggets with numerous scoring opportunities, and historically, the hosts have dominated the Knicks on this court. Therefore, we are backing a Denver Nuggets win and an individual total over 116.5 points.