Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Deportivo Alavés have edged out of the relegation zone but remain only two points above the relegation zone. Atlético Madrid, meanwhile, are battling to secure a Champions League berth and could mathematically confirm their place in the competition this round if they win and Real Betis drop points.
Deportivo Alavés
At home, Deportivo Alavés are typically involved in low-scoring matches. Since early November, they have not scored more than once in any of their last 11 league fixtures, while conceding more than one goal only once across their previous 10. Deportivo Alavés adopt a cautious style at Estadio Mendizorrotza. They have scored just 12 goals on home turf—only Real Valladolid have fewer—and conceded just 16, ranking among the top five defensive records in La Liga. However, they have lost four of their last six home games, three of them by the narrowest of margins (0:1).
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid appear to have steadied the ship, winning three of their last four matches. Each of those victories came in games featuring under 3.5 goals. In attack, Atlético Madrid remain potent, having scored 56 goals—only Real Madrid (66) and Barcelona (89) have more. Atlético Madrid have found the net in 13 consecutive league outings. Defensively, they are also among the best in the division, conceding just 27 goals, the second-lowest tally. Jan Oblak leads the league in clean sheets, with 13 to his name.
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Atlético Madrid boast a clear edge across all key departments and are highly motivated to clinch Champions League qualification as early as possible. Deportivo Alavés, in contrast, find goals hard to come by even at home and tend to keep matches tight, limiting opposition opportunities. As such, the recommended bet is on Total Under 3.5 goals and a double chance in favour of the visitors.
