Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
Deportivo Alavés have taken three points from the opening two rounds and look strong at home, whereas Atlético Madrid are enduring their worst start to a season.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés are playing pragmatic football: a 2:1 win over Levante and a narrow 1:0 defeat to Real Betis. The team dominated possession in both fixtures with an average 57% possession and produced 2.41 xG. At home, they are particularly effective — they are unbeaten in three straight home meetings with Atlético Madrid (two wins and a draw) and have kept Atlético Madrid scoreless in all three.
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid have started poorly: a 2:1 defeat to RCD Espanyol and a 1:1 draw with Elche. In both matches they opened the scoring but failed to hold the lead. The attack looks stuttering — Alexander Sørloth and Julián Álvarez have one goal apiece, while Giacomo Raspadori has yet to score. There are clear issues at the back as well — three goals conceded from seven shots on target and 1.83 xGA.
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Deportivo Alavés defend well on their own patch, and Atlético Madrid have significant problems in front of goal. The visitors are unconvincing at this stage, so the hosts should at least avoid defeat and keep it tight, especially with home support behind them.
