Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the La Liga match.
A three-match unbeaten run has kept Osasuna in contention for European qualification. Facing Deportivo Alavés, who are already assured of their La Liga status for next season, Osasuna are likely to take control of possession early on.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés’ compact approach has served them well against stronger opposition — notching a 1:0 win over Real Sociedad and holding Atlético Madrid to a goalless draw. They also recorded identical 1:0 victories against both Valencia and Real Valladolid. However, consistency at home has been an issue, with the squad managing just 13 goals in 18 home matches — the second-lowest tally in the division. Over the season, Deportivo Alavés have fallen short of their expected goals by nearly eight (44.80 xG vs 37 goals), placing them sixth from bottom in shot conversion rate.
Osasuna
Ante Budimir’s excellent form (21+4 in the league) has played a crucial role in securing vital points for Osasuna. In 2:0 wins over Atlético Madrid and Espanyol, the team combined disciplined defending with sharp counter-attacking play. Osasuna are expected to field their strongest line-up in this final round, with a real opportunity to overtake Rayo Vallecano and claim a place in the Europa Conference League qualifiers.
Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna Prediction
Deportivo Alavés have not beaten Osasuna in any of their last ten official meetings dating back to April 2017 (two draws, eight defeats). Backing Osasuna with a zero handicap appears to be a strong choice in this scenario.
