Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
Following a 1:0 defeat to Swansea City, Derby County have been dragged back into the relegation battle — now level on 41 points with Cardiff City, who currently occupy a place in the relegation zone. Burnley, sitting at the top of the English Football League Championship standings, will look to take full advantage against a struggling opponent, although a conservative draw would still suit their promotion push.
Derby County
Seven of the last nine fixtures involving Derby County have seen the “Both Teams to Score – No” bet come through, and a recent run of four consecutive victories suggests the team has found some tactical stability. In the match against Swansea City, the squad allowed just 0.25 xGA and faced only one shot on target — a clear indication of how effective their back three has become in controlling games. Their main striker Kayden Jackson may miss out after being forced off with an injury on Saturday.
Burnley
Burnley have maintained a compact, defensively disciplined approach throughout the season — conceding only 12 goals in 40 English Football League Championship matches. Over the weekend, they capitalised on Sheffield United's slip-up and reclaimed top spot with a 2:1 victory over Coventry City. Away from home, 15 of Burnley’s 20 matches have finished with Total Under 2.5 Goals — tied with Millwall for the fewest high-scoring away fixtures in the league.
Derby County vs Burnley Prediction
These teams played out a goalless draw in December, registering just five shots on target between them across the entire match. A similarly cautious encounter is expected here, making “Both Teams to Score – No” a strong consideration once again.
