Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
While a victory for either team is considered equally likely, the outcome of this match remains uncertain. A different approach may be needed to make a confident prediction.
Derby County
Derby's last victory was recorded on 13 December in their most recent home match when they defeated Portsmouth (4:0). However, compare Portsmouth to their upcoming opponent. In 10 matches at Pride Park against similar Premier League hopefuls, Derby County have faced such opposition just once. They won against Middlesbrough (1:0) in the second round, due to the opponent’s mistake and a bit of sheer luck in their own defence. Furthermore, few understood the newcomer early in the season. It's now clear that Derby are strong on free kicks and corners (12 of their 27 goals), but this strategy is unlikely to work against West Bromwich Albion.
West Bromwich Albion
West Bromwich Albion have conceded fewer goals from free kicks and corners than anyone else in the league—just two. They commit the fewest fouls (8.5 per game). Meanwhile, the West Midlands team are adept with free kicks and corners themselves, with eight goals (of their 26) making them a top-five contender. In their last match against Bristol City (2:0), no goals came from free kicks and corners—Mikey Johnston finished off two attacking moves. Notably, West Bromwich Albion had six corners to one and eight shots from free kicks and corners compared to three.
Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction
Regarding West Bromwich Albion's form in away games, it's quite commendable—they've picked up points in nine of 11 matches (four wins and five draws). Therefore, we're backing a double chance for the visitors.
