Adam Williams presents his prediction for the Premiership Rugby match.
Ealing Trailfinders are the only Championship club to reach this stage. They are not considered the favourite, but they were also seen as the underdog in the quarter-final against the reigning Premiership champion, yet they prevailed.
Exeter Chiefs
Exeter Chiefs are enduring one of their worst Premiership campaigns, currently sitting ninth with little hope of improvement. In contrast, Ealing Trailfinders dominate the Championship, losing only once all season—though financial and infrastructure requirements prevent them from being promoted. Exeter Chiefs defeated Sale Sharks (50:14) in the quarter-finals, not just through better attacking stats—more line breaks (15-4) and offloads (23-12)—but also thanks to their experience advantage. This was exemplified by the presence of seasoned internationals like Scott Sio, a prop with 74 caps for Australia.
Ealing Trailfinders
Ealing Trailfinders stunned Northampton Saints in the quarter-finals (43:26) and defeated Saracens twice in the group stage (29:19, 50:29). Premiership clubs often prioritise other competitions, fielding rotated squads in the Premiership Rugby Cup—significantly narrowing the gap between the top two divisions.
Exeter Chiefs vs Ealing Trailfinders Prediction
While Exeter Chiefs are expected to win, Ealing Trailfinders have shown they can match Premiership opposition. Given the Chiefs' inconsistent form, backing a straight Exeter win or a handicap in their favour seems too risky. Instead, the smart bet is on Ealing to cover the spread.
