Adam Williams presents his prediction for the NHL match.
Another instalment of the fierce Florida rivalry comes at a time when both teams have hit peak form. The Florida Panthers have won 8 of their last 10 games, while the Tampa Bay Lightning are unbeaten for over a month.
Florida Panthers
When two teams are evenly matched in terms of results, advanced metrics become crucial. Over their last 10 games, the Panthers have backed up their strong performances with impressive expected goals (xG) figures. They generate the most xG at even strength per 60 minutes (3.22) while also maintaining top-five defensive numbers, allowing just 2.21 xGA.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Things are not quite as convincing for the Lightning. They have relied heavily on two key factors: an extraordinarily hot power play (6 goals from 17 opportunities) and elite goaltending, with their netminders saving 91.5% of high-danger chances over the same stretch. Both figures are significantly above their season averages.
Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction
When these teams met in late December in Florida, the Panthers were considered strong favourites. Since then, backing the Panthers has become a more compelling proposition, making this a good opportunity to back the hosts. The Panthers hold the key advantages in this matchup.
