Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Copa Libertadores match
Despite their disappointing performances in the Brasileirão, Fluminense and Grêmio remain top clubs in South America. The starting meeting between the teams demonstrated their ability to impose their game on opponents; however, the match on the field of the current Copa Libertadores champions is expected to be a more defensive affair.
Fluminense
Since the arrival of defender Thiago Silva, Fluminense have only lost three of their last nine games, significantly improving their defensive play. During this period, they conceded just nine goals and kept five clean sheets. Last week, they were unlucky to concede two late goals, but they are unlikely to make such errors at home.
Grêmio
In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Grêmio’s games have ended with total under 2.5 goals on seven occasions. It's worth noting that over the weekend, the team failed to score despite an xG of 1.36 against Bahia (0-2) in the league. Evidently, away from home, the side will again concede possession and rely on counter-attacks, prioritising holding onto their result.
Fluminense - Grêmio Prediction
In the Brazilian Serie A, Fluminense and Grêmio have each had only seven matches with over 3 goals, the second-lowest entertainment value after Internacional (6). The importance of the result in the upcoming meeting will likely force both clubs to play defensively.
