Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the DFB-Pokal match.
Hamburg's struggles in the 2. Bundesliga have continued for several years—this season, they immediately fell behind the league leader in the standings. In contrast, Freiburg have experienced positive changes since the departure of legendary coach Christian Streich, as their new coach, Julian Schuster, adds fresh dimensions to the club.
Freiburg
Admittedly, Freiburg are not yet prepared to compete on equal terms with top-tier opponents—a defeat to RB Leipzig (1:3) occurred due to inexperience, despite the underdogs creating 1.65 xG and holding more possession (58-42%). This season, the team have clinched three home victories, scoring a total of eight goals. Against FC Augsburg (3:1), they impressed with powerful long shots, and their leader Vincenzo Grifo recorded 1+1 against the Bavarians.
Hamburg
Last weekend, Hamburg's unbeaten run of six matches ended when they fell to one of the second division's surprise packages, Elversberg (2:4). Coach Steffen Baumgart will miss Robert Glatzel, Dennis Hadzikadunic, and Silvan Hefti—each of whom would have been in the starting lineup for the cup match. Clearly, the main issues for Hamburg lie in their defence—they have only kept two clean sheets in the league.
Freiburg vs Hamburg Prediction
The last encounter between Freiburg and Hamburg was in the semi-finals of the DFB-Pokal in spring 2022, when Freiburg scored three times by the 35th minute (3:1). It is likely that they will again take a lead over their struggling opponents, who lack key performers.
