Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
For both teams, the upcoming match is an opportunity to improve their league standings. Genoa finally secured their first away win of the current season and now look to build on that success at home. Meanwhile, Como continue their streak of poor results, slipping close to the relegation zone, and need points to halt this decline.
Genoa
Genoa showed a commendable performance for the first time in a while, defeating Parma (1:0) in the last round, marking their first win in ten matches. In this encounter, their expected goals (xG) exceeded one — 1.39, though this was likely due to their opponent's weak defence. Genoa continue to struggle in attack, with the goal in the previous game being only their eighth of the season— the worst tally after Lecce, with four goals. However, a bright spot in the squad is the experienced forward Andrea Pinamonti, who has scored four times. Defensively, Genoa are also unreliable, conceding 22 goals in 11 games (an average of 1.9 per match).
Como
Como, after a bright start, have gradually lost ground, suffering four defeats in their last five matches, including a heavy loss to Lazio (1:5). The attacking style that Cesc Fabregas implements is faltering: despite having possession and creating chances, their conversion rate remains low (averaging one goal per match). The main attacking threat for the club is Patrick Cutrone, who, like his counterpart from the opposing team, has scored four times. Speaking of their defence, it is among the worst in the league (22 goals conceded, averaging two per game).
Genoa vs Como Prediction
Given the unstable defences of both sides, goals are likely to be scored in this encounter (even their head-to-head clashes ended in draws with goals— 1:1 and 2:2), although it's uncertain which way they will go. Additionally, both Genoa and Como have notable forwards who, though not at the peak of their form, can make an impact. Therefore, a good bet for this match would be a total over 1.5.
