Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Fiorentina's electrifying pace is both captivating for neutral viewers and inspiring for fans dreaming of a return to the Champions League. Away against struggling Genoa, Fiorentina have all the tools to dismantle the defence of the underdogs — they are well-positioned for another emphatic win.
Genoa
Over the past five weeks, Genoa have secured only one point from a possible 15 in the league, conceding 15 goals in those five matches — the worst record in the tournament. Against Lazio (0:3), Genoa conceded an xGA of 1.90 and faced 18 shots over 90 minutes — their fragile defence has been unable to withstand the attacking pressure from teams in the upper half of the table. It's evident that Genoa are hampered by personnel losses, with seven key players injured, prompting the club to urgently sign Mario Balotelli as a free agent.
Fiorentina
In the same five-match stretch, Fiorentina have claimed 13 points (the best record tied with Napoli) and scored 15 goals. Against AS Roma at home (5:1), the team consistently created chances on the counterattack around the opponent's penalty area, resulting in an xG of 3.80 and 10 shots on target with only 38% possession. Newcomers Moise Kean, Robin Gosens, Yacine Adli, and Edoardo Bove have been smoothly integrated into the squad, each experiencing a strong phase in their career.
Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction
Since September 2021, Fiorentina have scored 2 or more goals in three out of four encounters with Genoa. It’s likely that the underdogs will struggle against the tough favourites.
