Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nations League match.
After last month's defeat to Greece, England announced the appointment of Thomas Tuchel as head coach, but in November, the national team will still be led by Lee Carsley. Greece have been one of the surprises of the Nations League group stage—they have already secured a top-two spot in their group, so they might not display their best football against the England side without additional motivation.
Greece
At Wembley against England (2:1), Greece had a stroke of luck in terms of finishing, while the favourites controlled possession for most of the match (0.74-0.84 in xG and 37%-63% in possession). Ivan Jovanović found the perfect combination of players for counter-attacking football, enabling Vangelis Pavlidis, Christos Tzolis, and Anastasios Bakasetas to create chances. However, Greece still lack reliability in their defensive line, and they will be without defensive midfielder Dimitrios Kourbelis due to suspension (yellow card accumulation).
England
It's likely that until Thomas Tuchel fully takes charge, England will try to adapt to his style. Lee Carsley's staff has introduced new faces to the England squad, giving opportunities to Jordan Henderson, Rico Lewis, Tino Livramento, and Noni Madueke. Against Finland (3:1), England collected three points with 1.62 xG and six shots on target—the stars make it easy to capitalise on dangerous chances. In November, they were without Bukayo Saka, Philip Foden, Jack Grealish, and Cole Palmer, but they have called up motivated talents like Jarrod Bowen and Morgan Rodgers.
Greece vs England Prediction
After the initial setback in direct encounters with Greece, England are eager to take revenge. They will go on the attack, while the hosts can relax, having accomplished their main objective.
