Adam Williams presents his prediction for the English Premiership rugby match.
Both teams were involved in unusual matches last round. Harlequins suffered a shutout defeat to Gloucester (0:14), while Bristol Bears had a field day against Leicester (24:54).
Harlequins
Harlequins seem to be inconsistent. Before the shutout, the London side thrashed the Stormers (53:16). At home, they have only lost to two of the top teams—Bath (24:26) and Bristol Bears (24:48). However, Harlequins did secure a long-awaited victory over Saracens, their first in many years (17:10). Leicester Tigers remain a direct competitor, despite being separated by three positions and six points.
Leicester Tigers
Currently sitting in fourth, Leicester Tigers' situation is clearer: they may lose away from home, but by no more than 14 points. Such were their margins of defeat in their last two matches—against European-level Bordeaux Bègles (28:42) and domestic rivals Sale Sharks (25:39).
Harlequins vs Leicester Tigers Prediction
The opponents are of comparable level, so let’s consider their head-to-head meetings. Last year, Leicester Tigers snatched a victory with a 20:19 scoreline. Interestingly, in the last four encounters, the away team emerged as the winner each time. With this in mind, we opt for a modest positive handicap on Leicester Tigers in case they secure the win.