Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Europa Conference League match.
Heidenheim approach this game riding high on their performances in the Conference League group stage, but the level of their previous opponents pales in comparison to the challenge ahead. For Chelsea, this match is yet another opportunity to play with freedom and secure three points, considering the hosts are not the most formidable by European standards.
Heidenheim
Heidenheim have collected the maximum possible points in the Conference League. However, their victories came against teams clearly inferior in quality. Last round, against Hearts, the German side played defensively and recorded an xG of only 0.67. Their attack has been lacklustre, netting just five goals in three matches. They tend to struggle against stronger teams, particularly in the Bundesliga, where they are winless in their last six matches.
Chelsea
Chelsea are in superb form: three convincing victories with 16 goals scored, averaging 5.33 goals per game. In previous rounds, the English side overcame quite challenging opponents, including Gent (4:2) and Panathinaikos (4:1), where their xG exceeded 2.23. Last round saw an emphatic 8:0 win at home against Armenian side Noah, with 5.82 xG and 31 shots, 18 of which were on target. The attacking trio of Christopher Nkunku (4+1), João Félix (4 goals), and Mykhaylo Mudryk (2+3) have been instrumental, scoring the majority of Chelsea's goals in this competition. Defensively, they are solid, averaging just one goal conceded per game. Chelsea’s defence should not face significant challenges against the Germans.
Heidenheim vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea hold a clear advantage in terms of class, squad depth, and form. Heidenheim may appear strong against mid-level opposition, but their results are misleading; they have yet to face top-tier opponents in the Conference League, and they've been on a poor run in their domestic championship. Thus, we predict a comprehensive victory for Chelsea.
