Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Wimbledon match.
Holger Rune arrives at Wimbledon as the No. 8 seed, but question marks linger over his grass-court form. The Dane reached the quarter-finals here in 2023, but since then he has struggled to assert himself on this surface. A recent defeat to Roberto Bautista Agut at Queen’s once again exposed his discomfort on grass and cast doubt on his readiness for the Grand Slam opener.
Holger Rune
Rune has failed to produce consistent performances on this surface: he has dropped at least one set in six of his last eight grass-court matches, many of them against opponents outside the top 40. His game lacks sharpness at the moment, and his serve remains a particular concern — he’s averaging seven double faults per match during the current grass campaign.
Nicolás Jarry
On the other side of the net, Nicolás Jarry looks better equipped to handle the early rounds. The Chilean has won six of his last nine matches on grass, showing impressive adaptability despite being more accustomed to clay and hard courts. His serve is a major weapon — averaging 11 aces per match and winning 78% of points behind his first delivery. He came through Wimbledon qualifying without dropping a set, indicating sharp form and confidence.
Holger Rune vs Nicolás Jarry Prediction
Given Rune’s erratic form and Jarry’s effectiveness on serve, especially in the early stages of a tournament, this one looks set to be much closer than the rankings might suggest. The Chilean should push Rune all the way, making a handicap bet on Jarry the smart play.
