Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Across three Bundesliga rounds in April, Holstein Kiel have managed to collect slightly more points than Borussia Mönchengladbach (two vs one). However, the hosts are unlikely to avoid defensive errors in Kiel, especially against a motivated opponent still in contention for European qualification.
Holstein Kiel
A 1:1 draw against RB Leipzig was a major result for Holstein Kiel, although the xG statistics (1.02–2.17 in xG) show that the visitors were significantly more dangerous. At home, Holstein Kiel have conceded 36 goals in 15 matches — no other side in the league has allowed more than 30. They remain three points above the relegation play-off zone — survival is still possible, but their chances are likely to diminish after this round.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Their trip to Borussia Dortmund ended in a narrow 2:3 defeat, but Borussia M'gladbach actually had the better xG in the derby (1.22–1.18 in xG). Away from home, they have scored 23 goals — only six teams have a stronger attacking record on the road. The squad’s top scorer, Tim Kleindienst (15+5), is being closely followed in the scoring charts by Alassane Plea (10+5) — both rank among the Bundesliga’s top 15 goal contributors.
Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Back in mid-December, Borussia Mönchengladbach dismantled Holstein Kiel (4:1) at home. They clearly possess a higher level of quality than Holstein Kiel.
