Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Following the October international break, Holstein Kiel have suffered three consecutive defeats, with a setback against Köln (0:3) from the 2. Bundesliga in the DFB-Pokal being a particular blow to their pride. The more experienced and organised Heidenheim are aiming to take points away from the newcomers, especially as their first team had a rest during the away match at Hertha BSC (1:2).
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel's defence struggles to compete with top-flight opponents in Germany. The Bundesliga newcomers have conceded 18.87 xGA over eight matches—only Hoffenheim (19.01) and VfL Bochum (21.99) are worse defensively. At Köln's ground, they fielded all their first-choice players, so Marcel Rapp will be forced to rotate on Saturday.
Heidenheim
This season, Heidenheim have displayed a more passive style in the UEFA Conference League, where they secured four consecutive wins, including qualifiers, using a makeshift lineup. Against Hertha in Berlin, Frank Schmidt played his reserves, prioritising the Bundesliga, where last week Heidenheim shared points with Hoffenheim (0:0). They registered 12.91 xGA while creating 11.91 xG—commendable figures for a team fighting for a top-eight finish.
Holstein Kiel vs Heidenheim Prediction
In four home matches, Holstein Kiel have failed to earn a single point and have conceded 14 goals. It seems a determined Heidenheim will capitalise and take points in Kiel.