Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Geneva match.
This tournament offers a real opportunity for Hubert Hurkacz to lift a trophy and build momentum ahead of Roland Garros. He recently secured a win over Taylor Fritz, a result that suggests he is well-prepared to compete against top-tier players. By contrast, Sebastian Ofner rarely progresses beyond the semi-finals stage when up against higher-ranked opposition, and this match presents another significant test.
Hubert Hurkacz
Once ranked as high as No. 6 in the world and currently sitting at No. 31, Hubert Hurkacz has shown he is still capable of producing top-level tennis. In Rome, he made a strong impression by eliminating three top-50 players — Jakub Mensik, Marcos Giron, and Pedro Martínez Portero — before falling to Tommy Paul in the quarter-finals. In Geneva, Hurkacz has already delivered a statement win against world No. 4 Taylor Fritz, firing nine aces and winning 87% of points on his first serve. He has been especially dominant against players ranked outside the top 100, winning his last 15 matches against such opponents.
Sebastian Ofner
Currently ranked No. 128 in the ATP rankings, Sebastian Ofner has managed to defeat Nuno Borges and Karen Khachanov in Geneva, though his performances haven’t stood out statistically. So far, he's averaged just a 50% first-serve percentage per match. This season, he has yet to progress beyond the round of 16 at any tournament. Furthermore, he has lost 9 out of 12 career semi-finals when facing higher-ranked players.
Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction
Hubert Hurkacz has a clear edge — he brings more experience and has already beaten Sebastian Ofner in the past. His stronger serve and overall higher level of play should be the deciding factors, making Hubert Hurkacz the likely winner here.
