Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Colombian Primera A match.
With just two rounds remaining in the group playoff stage, every result now carries significant weight. Independiente Santa Fe are in a stronger position, currently second in the group, while bottom-placed Once Caldas face a more difficult scenario.
Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe are level on points with Millonarios FC, trailing only on goal difference — and by a single goal. However, their latest outing, a 2:1 home defeat to Atlético Nacional, raises questions. Independiente Santa Fe matched their opponents in general play, but the difference lay in execution. Both sides recorded 11 attempts, but Independiente Santa Fe registered only two on target, compared to six from Atlético Nacional. The scoreline accurately reflects that disparity.
Once Caldas
While Independiente Santa Fe have at least picked up two wins, Once Caldas remain without a victory, having drawn all three matches so far. Their most recent draw was the most dramatic — a 2:2 result against Millonarios FC. That outcome would not have gone unnoticed by Independiente Santa Fe. Once Caldas sat deep and played reactively but still managed to establish a surprising 2:0 lead by halftime. However, they ultimately failed to protect that advantage and dropped crucial points.
Independiente Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Prediction
Independiente Santa Fe have won the last three head-to-head meetings across all venues, including two 2:1 scorelines. Their record suggests they are favourites at home. However, having lost both of their home games in the playoff stage so far, securing all three points is far from certain. A draw seems a realistic outcome, and the match is likely to feature at least two goals.
