Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Australian Open match.
For Fearnley, this represents a significant milestone in his career—his first encounter against a top-10 opponent and a chance to shine on a grand stage. Zverev, the world number two, has been navigating the tournament draw with confidence, showcasing power and consistency. The German is aiming for his first career Grand Slam title, and this match is another step towards that ambitious goal.
Jacob Fearnley
Fearnley, ranked 77th in the ATP rankings, is playing in the main draw of the Australian Open for the first time, which is an achievement in itself. In the second-round match against France's Arthur Cazaux (3:6, 7:5, 6:2, 6:3), Jacob showed resilience, turning the match around after losing the first set. Prior to that, he effortlessly dispatched the seasoned Nick Kyrgios in straight sets in the opening round. It's worth noting that the Brit feels at home on fast surfaces, as evidenced by his five Challenger titles.
Alexander Zverev
Zverev, in contrast, is also progressing confidently through the draw. In the second round, he overcame Pedro Martinez Portero (6:1, 6:4, 6:1), spending less than two hours on court. The German fired eight aces, didn't concede a single break, and converted six out of eight break points. Zverev's level of play is impressive, particularly his serve, which consistently exceeds 210 km/h. Historically, Zverev has performed well in the third rounds of Grand Slams, winning 18 out of his last 19 matches at this stage. However, starting from the third round, the German often loses focus—in 8 out of 13 matches on hard courts in Grand Slams, he has dropped at least one set.
Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Zverev enters the match as the clear favourite. However, Fearnley will offer resistance with his aggressive play, serve, and court movement. The German is likely to secure the win, but the Brit will seize his opportunities and take a set. Therefore, we'll back Fearnley with a handicap.
