Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Roland Garros match.
Jannik Sinner is on a mission in Paris. The newly crowned world No.1 is chasing his maiden Roland Garros final, and his ruthless form suggests he’s ready to conquer clay. For Andrey Rublev, this is a golden opportunity to reach the semi-finals at Roland Garros for the first time — and he’ll be hoping the walkover in the previous round gives him an edge in freshness.
Jannik Sinner
The Italian is delivering a masterclass on clay this season. He’s taken 8 of 9 matches on the surface and dropped just two sets in the process. At Roland Garros, Sinner breezed past Arthur Rinderknech (No.75), dismantled Richard Gasquet (No.166) with a 6-0 set (6:3, 6:0, 6:4), and crushed Jiri Lehecka (No.34) — conceding just three games in the entire match. He’s racked up 17 breaks of serve in three matches and has won a staggering 81% of points behind his first delivery. Head-to-head, Sinner leads Rublev 6-2, with the Russian claiming just one win in a completed match.
Andrey Rublev
Rublev is in decent form, having won six of his last seven on clay. However, context matters — his path to the fourth round in Paris was gentle: Lloyd Harris (No.227), Adam Walton (No.91), and then a retirement from Arthur Fils handed him a stress-free passage forward. The Russian has won just 8 of 13 matches on clay this season and crashed out early in four of his five previous tournaments.
Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Sinner is steamrolling opponents and looks every bit the title favourite. Rublev’s extra rest day won’t make a difference against the Italian’s relentless baseline assault and pinpoint accuracy. Given the disparity in clay form and their head-to-head record, this could be another dominant performance.