Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Roland Garros match.
Jannik Sinner arrives at Roland Garros as the world No. 1 and top seed. After a bitter defeat in the final of the Rome Masters, where he narrowly missed out on claiming the title on home soil, the Italian comes into the tournament determined to reassert his dominance at the top of the standings. Arthur Rinderknech is not expected to present a stern test; the French player has historically struggled on clay and has found it difficult to compete against elite-level opponents.
Jannik Sinner
Although Jannik Sinner is more renowned for his success on quicker surfaces, he has made a convincing transition to the clay this season. The Italian has won five of his six matches on the surface in 2024, with four of those victories coming in straight sets. His dismantling of Casper Ruud, dropping only a single game, was especially noteworthy. At last year’s Roland Garros, Sinner did not lose a set in the first week and went on to reach the semi-finals.
Arthur Rinderknech
Clay remains the most challenging surface for Arthur Rinderknech. His usually formidable serve is less effective, and in extended rallies he tends to falter due to limited tactical variety and inconsistency. His record against top-50 players on clay is poor, with only 8 wins in 22 matches—a 36% success rate. Even at his home Grand Slam, he has rarely delivered a convincing performance, having failed to progress beyond the second round since 2020.
Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction
The match is likely to be controlled by Jannik Sinner, who should dictate from the baseline and deny his opponent any chance to establish rhythm or momentum.