Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Juventus return from the international break under new management after Thiago Motta’s inevitable sacking, prompted by brutal defeats to Atalanta (0:4) and Fiorentina (0:3). Igor Tudor takes charge for the run-in, but his first test — against a disciplined Genoa side — may not offer much joy in the attacking third.
Juventus
Champions League and Coppa Italia eliminations sounded early alarms for the previous regime, but it was the back-to-back thrashings before the break that sealed Motta’s fate. Across those two games, Juventus conceded a staggering 4.44 xGA — the worst defensive figure in Serie A over that stretch. Igor Tudor faces a double dilemma: fragile defending and blunt finishing. Randal Kolo Muani hasn’t contributed a goal or assist in March (last goal: 7 February), while Dusan Vlahovic has managed just 2 goals since mid-December.
Genoa
Genoa have become one of the toughest sides to break down. Since the turn of the year, they’ve allowed just 9.28 xGA in 11 matches — second-best in the league behind Napoli. They are notoriously conservative, with only 11 of their 29 league games seeing over 2.5 goals (second-lowest in the division). On the road, Genoa have gone six without a win but are adept at shutting games down early and holding firm — especially against the top sides.
Juventus vs Genoa Prediction
Only twice in their last five meetings since the start of the 2021/22 season have Juventus and Genoa seen over 2.5 goals. With both sides lacking attacking rhythm and Juventus still adjusting to a new coach, this has all the makings of a low-event affair.
