Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP 500 match.
Karen Khachanov comfortably advanced past the qualifiers, while Brandon Nakashima defeated the fourth seed. The Russian also ranks higher than the American. Will the Russian tennis player face significant challenges from his opponent?
Karen Khachanov
Thiago Seyboth Wild couldn't replicate the impressive tennis he showcased in the spring, allowing Karen Khachanov to win without any nerves in the round of 32, thanks to his high service points percentage (82-62%) and his opponent's lack of focus (14-32 unforced errors).
Brandon Nakashima
In an all-American derby on European soil, Brandon Nakashima triumphed over the higher-ranked Tommy Paul. However, rankings are irrelevant between them — they have a unique rivalry. Brandon has won all four of their previous encounters on various surfaces. In Vienna, the world number 38 secured victory with a more consistent first-serve percentage (77-55). It wasn't a perfect performance by any means, as Nakashima could have finished the match quicker than 6:4, 6:4, considering he had 11 break points but converted only two. Tommy Paul had virtually no opportunities on Nakashima's serve (0 out of 1).
Karen Khachanov vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
It's worth noting that these players haven't faced each other before. Judging by their current form and style, it's hard to give one a clear advantage. Bookmakers see them similarly balanced. Since neither player has a clear edge, the match promises to be closely contested and potentially lengthy, making a bet on the total over worthwhile.