Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Roland Garros match.
Karen Khachanov is handed an ideal chance for redemption just a week after an unexpected loss to Sebastian Ofner in Geneva. The stakes are notably higher this time, with the two facing off in the second round of Roland-Garros — a tournament where Khachanov has consistently delivered strong performances. Over the past eight years, he has reached the fourth round or beyond on six occasions. By contrast, Ofner may find it difficult to sustain the physical and mental demands of his recent run of matches.
Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov opened his Paris campaign in commanding style, defeating Aleksandar Vukic in straight sets. He fired nine aces and did not face a single break point. Khachanov arrives in good form, having won eight of his last thirteen matches. In only one of those contests — against Holger Rune in Barcelona — did Khachanov fail to win a set. Despite losing their recent encounter in Geneva, he posted a 68% first-serve success rate, outperforming Sebastian Ofner, who managed just 51%.
Sebastian Ofner
Sebastian Ofner has also enjoyed a positive spell, registering ten victories from twelve matches since the start of May. However, against top-50 opposition, his only wins have come against world No.16 Frances Tiafoe and No.24 Karen Khachanov. His heavy playing schedule may be starting to show. In Geneva versus Hubert Hurkacz, Ofner won only 63% of his first-serve points and failed to secure a single break. Sebastian Ofner’s opening match in Paris against Jan-Lennard Struff proved draining, featuring two tie-breaks, extended rallies, late-set drop-offs, and a first-serve percentage of just 58%.
Karen Khachanov vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction
In Paris, Karen Khachanov is expected to reassert his level — especially after the recent setback in Geneva. He has the advantage in terms of quality, experience, and physical condition. Khachanov looks well-placed to earn revenge and advance to the next round.