Adam Williams presents his prediction for the UFC 307 fight.
Kayla Harrison
Kayla will look to throw hooks while on the move and block strikes. In striking exchanges, she aims to lure her opponent away from the cage. Using feints and constant leg attacks, Harrison will grab Vieira's attention to set up a sudden body takedown. The American fighter plans to secure a tight grip or execute a trip. Kayla will try to gain side position from the stand-up, offering her a superior spot post-takedown. On the ground, she will utilise short elbow strikes and keep submission threats in play. In certain situations, Harrison might allow her opponent to initiate a throw, only to counter it effectively.
Ketlen Vieira
Ketlen will attempt to outstrike her opponent with sharp, straight punches from long range. She'll immediately use an uppercut and reposition when Kayla closes in. Vieira will invest heavily in hook shots and execute front kicks. If Harrison closes the distance, the Brazilian intends to engage her with quick knee strikes, then break free and retreat to a safe distance. Ketlen will try to catch a low kick or meet Harrison with a swift strike before initiating a takedown. Once on the ground, Vieira aims for a quick submission to avoid an extended grappling bout.
Betting Odds
Bookmakers believe the American will dominate thanks to her superior skills and physical strength. Odds for a Harrison victory are 1/10.
Ketlen struggled against the takedowns from Yana Santos, leading analysts to see her having slim chances against Harrison. A bet on Vieira's victory comes with odds of 11/2.
Kayla Harrison vs Ketlen Vieira Prediction
Harrison is likely to bring Vieira to the canvas; however, an early finish in the first round seems unlikely. As the fight progresses, the chance for a finish increases, as Kayla will become more aggressive and the Brazilian will have to seek a submission. Harrison’s physical strength enables her to avoid losing on points. We believe a bet on the total under 2.5 is the best choice for this bout. While Kayla clearly outclasses her opponent in skills, her odds are quite low. She is likely to secure a win inside the distance, but if she were to lose, it would be by getting caught in a submission.
