Adam Williams presents his prediction for the UFC on ESPN 64 fight.
Joe Pyfer
Joe Pyfer will open the bout by throwing a few feints to gauge Gastelum’s reactions, then step in sharply with punishing hooks. Expect him to mix in a series of vicious uppercuts aimed at catching Gastelum during a duck or takedown attempt. Pyfer won’t get dragged into wild exchanges early on, instead choosing to meet any forward pressure with powerful middle kicks and lateral movement. In the second round, he’s likely to crank up the aggression, launching strikes from different angles, relying more on raw power than technical precision. Should he absorb a couple of clean shots, Pyfer may recalibrate and look for a takedown to control the pace.
Kelvin Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum will work behind a long-range jab, closing the gap with a heavy shot to the body before unleashing a quick boxing combination and darting back out. He’ll aim to block a kick and then step in tight, hunting for an uppercut or overhand before initiating the clinch. If caught in an exchange, Gastelum could opt to tie Pyfer up and push him against the cage. Upon landing a flurry, he’ll likely shoot for a double-leg takedown, and once on the mat, look to secure side control or half-guard, creating space for short strikes.
Betting Odds
Bookmakers see Joe Pyfer as the clear favourite at 3/10. Kelvin Gastelum’s recent run of form hasn’t been impressive, and unlike his younger opponent, he’s no longer chasing a climb back into title contention. A win for Gastelum is valued at 5/2.
Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer Prediction
Gastelum’s craftiness in the stand-up could be enough to edge the first round. However, Pyfer will go for the finish in the second, mixing power shots with kicks to wear his opponent down. While a knockout remains within reach, the more likely scenario is Pyfer edging ahead on the scorecards. This time, his energy management will be sharper, giving him the stamina to push into the third round without fading. He’ll use his superior speed to pull away late and prevent Gastelum from turning it into a wrestling match. With his striking volume and physicality, Pyfer looks well-placed to take the fight either by decision or finish.
