Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
This weekend's marquee clash in the Italian championship between Lazio and Atalanta is set to provide crucial insights into the title aspirations of both sides. Atalanta appear ready to mount a serious challenge for Lazio, who are still in the process of building their project.
Lazio
The humiliating defeat to Inter Milan (0:6) last Monday served as a stark reminder of Lazio's significant overhaul during the off-season. The Milan side required just 2.13 xG and seven shots on target to secure a commanding victory, as Lazio were hampered by injuries to key defenders Alessio Romagnoli and Mario Gila. The team lack defensive solidity, evident in their concession of 24 goals with an xGA of 17.92, the worst difference in the top 12 of the league.
Atalanta
Atalanta have maintained their top position under pressure, with the defeat to Real Madrid (2:3) in the Champions League having no adverse effect on the team. Following their thrashing of Cesena (6:1) in the Coppa Italia, they managed a 3:2 victory over Empoli, pulling ahead after the break as Charles De Ketelaere scored twice. The Belgian, alongside Ademola Lookman, has amassed 14+4 in Serie A, and Gian Gasperini also has the league's top scorer Mateo Retegui at his disposal (12+3).
Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction
Atalanta lead the campaign by a significant margin in expected goals (39.82), and Lazio's inconsistent defence is unlikely to withstand such pressure from their rivals. Our choice is a solid handicap of 0 on the visitors.
