Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the ATP Washington match.
Learner Tien is set to face Andrey Rublev for the first time in the ATP 500 event at the Washington Open. The Russian has a solid track record at this tournament, having reached the semi-finals in 2022 and the quarter-finals in 2024. However, his current form is raising concerns, particularly after a disappointing campaign in Los Cabos.
Learner Tien
The young American has emerged as a tough challenge for top-10 players in the 2025 season, winning three of his four encounters against such opponents. His victories include matches against Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev, and Ben Shelton. In the opening round of the Washington Open, he delivered a confident straight-sets win over Emilio Nava, facing only one converted break point and winning 50 % of return points.
Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev continues to face difficulties on hard courts. He has dropped at least one set in 10 of his 13 hard-court matches this season. In Los Cabos, he lost a set to Emilio Nava and ultimately fell to Aleksandar Kovacevic, despite taking the opener. Notably, in 9 out of his 12 best-of-three hard-court matches in 2025, the Total Over 22 games mark has been reached.
Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Learner Tien has shown impressive form against elite opponents and looks comfortable on this surface. Andrey Rublev has been inconsistent and prone to dropping sets, which could very well happen again in this fixture. The American is expected to keep it close, and we’re backing him with a +1.5 sets handicap.
