Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
AC Milan’s alarming dip in form has left them languishing in ninth place, far from their usual top-four battle. Meanwhile, Lecce’s attacking woes continue, making this a crucial encounter for both sides.
Lecce
Lecce’s attacking struggles have been a persistent issue this season. Four consecutive games without a goal highlight their inefficiency in front of goal, and with just 18 goals scored all season, they remain the only Serie A team yet to reach the 20-goal mark. Their xG tally of 26.13 ranks 19th, further underlining their lack of firepower. Against Fiorentina (0:1), Lecce managed only three shots on target and a modest 0.77 xG. Such an uninspiring offensive display suggests they will struggle to break down a Milan defence, even one dealing with key absences.
AC Milan
AC Milan will be without three key defenders for Saturday’s match: Emerson Royal is injured, while Mike Maignan and Strahinja Pavlović are suspended. Their Champions League elimination by Feyenoord Rotterdam (1:2 on aggregate) and a run of three consecutive Serie A defeats have put Conceição under significant pressure. The Portuguese coach has earned only 14 points in 10 Serie A matches, and his attack has underperformed their expected goals, scoring only 13 goals from 17.62 xG.
Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
The last four meetings between these sides have seen three matches end with "Both Teams to Score – No", with Milan securing clean-sheet victories each time. Given Lecce’s scoring drought and Milan’s struggles in attack, another low-scoring affair seems inevitable.
