Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Championship match.
One of the leading sides in the Championship dropped crucial points in their promotion pursuit against a mid-table team away from home. However, Leeds United now host the weakest team in away performances. Is victory guaranteed for them?
Leeds United
Leeds United failed to score for the first time in five matches. Despite their efforts, they couldn't find the net against Bristol City. Even when the goalkeeper was beaten, defenders stepped in to help, as evidenced by their 1.38 xG, 17 shots, and 5 on target. The situation at home is quite different. While Leeds United have underperformed in away goals (-3.86 xGDiff), they’ve outperformed expectations at Elland Road (+0.51 xGDiff), resulting in four wins from six home games.
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth are the worst-performing away team, with just one point from six matches and a goal difference of -12. It's not that they always surrender easily, but there are games where they simply collapse, losing to Sheffield Wednesday (0:4) and Cardiff City (0:5)—neither of which are particularly strong opponents. Apart from a narrow defeat to Burnley (0:1), Plymouth haven’t faced real tests away from home. Their primary task is to hit the back of the net, as their lone goal against Queens Park Rangers secured a draw.
Leeds United vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction
However, one goal is likely insufficient. In recent matches against Leeds United, Plymouth players have managed just a single goal, and only once did it earn them a draw. The hosts are poised to score their usual two goals at home and are very likely to win.
